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Friday, February 28, 2020

A Clouded Crystal Ball


I base the two sets of predictions below on nothing more reliable than my instincts and gut feelings.  But I think these rankings will be borne out to an appreciable degree.  In each context - South Carolina and Super Tuesday - the rankings run from top-of-the-heap/winner to last place, in reverse order of success.

South Carolina

  1. Biden
  2. Sanders
  3. Bloomberg
  4. Warren
  5. Buttigieg
  6. Klobuchar
  7. Styer

Super Tuesday

  1. Sanders
  2. Biden
  3. Bloomberg
  4. Warren
  5. Buttigieg
  6. Styer
  7. Klobuchar
Keep in mind that in some of the Super Tuesday contests delegates will be awarded not only by winner-of-the-state, but also, in part, by winner-in-specific districts.  So in the case of Texas, for instance, keep an eye on who wins state Senate districts.

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